After predicting Buhari’s victory in 2015, The Economist tips Tinubu for Presidency
THE presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Bola Tinubu, will win next year’s presidential election, thE Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has said.
“We expect Tinubu to take the presidency, and recent developments have only reinforced our thinking. It does not appear that a Muslim-Muslim ticket will weigh significantly on Tinubu’s electoral chances,” it said in a new country report released this month.
The EIU is reputed as the largest and most experienced analyst team in the world, with over 190 full-time country experts, industry analysts and economists.
Founded in 1946 with headquarters in London, it provides forecasting and advisory services through research and analysis, such as monthly country reports, five-year country economic forecasts, country risk service reports, and industry reports.
The EIU had rightly predicted victory for President Muhammadu Buhari in 2015.
However, its postulation went wrong four years later when it picked Atiku Abubakar, the presidential candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) as the winner.
The EIC report this year noted that with the amendment of the Electoral Act to accommodate electronic transmission of results, the role of the establishment in influencing the outcome of the presidential election would diminish significantly, leading to the most fairest and credible polls since the return to democratic rule in 1999.
The report added that despite the presence of three major political gladiators from the three major ethnic groups in the country in the presidential race, the amendment of the Electoral Act would bring fewer disputes about the presidential election result.
Last week, the outcome of an opinion poll by the ANAP Foundation showed Obi holding a significant lead over both Tinubu and Atiku.
In the nationwide poll conducted this month, Obi stands at 21 percent while both Tinubu and Atiku are tied in second place with 13 percent each. Kwankwaso of the NNPP is at a distant fourth with only 3 percent.