Dangote Refinery Drives Domestic Petrol Supply to 64% in December 2025

In December 2025, Nigeria’s domestic Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), also referred to as petrol supply, averaged 32.01 million liters per day (MLD), up from 19.5 MLD earlier. Dangote Refinery contributed 5.783 MLD at up to 71% capacity utilization.

The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) published a December 2025 data sheet on Thursday that details notable advancements in fuel delivery, refinery operations, and stock sufficiency across key products.

According to independent reports, the increase was caused by improved performance by Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs), NNPC, and Dangote Petroleum Refinery Products (DPRP), which increased the country’s PMS sufficiency to 29 days, the highest level in more than a year.

Sufficiency increased by 77% from November, with marine supplies at 4.2 days and inland stocks at 25.1 days.

PMS at 63.7 MLD (compared to a benchmark of 50 MLD), Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) at 16.4 MLD (compared to a benchmark of 14 MLD), Aviation Turbine Kerosene (ATK) at 2.7 MLD (compared to a benchmark of 3 MLD), and LPG at 4,380 metric tonnes per day (mtd) (compared to a standard of 3,900 mtd).

The AGO, ATK, LPG, and Low Pour Fuel Oil (LPFO) sufficiency levels were 25 days, 20 days, 8 days, and 51 days, respectively.

PMS sufficiency peaked at 29.2 total days in December 2025, indicating supply chain stabilization, according to trends from October 2024 to December 2025.

While AGO remained closed after May 2025, Dangote Refinery had an average capacity utilization of 64.02% and supplied the scheduled PMS supply.

Train 1 at Waltersmith Refinery ran for 13 days at 63.24% utilization, supplying 0.051 MLD AGO; Train 2 (5,000 barrels per stream day) finished pre-commissioning and is scheduled for hydrocarbon introduction in January 2026.

With OPAC and Duport out, modular refineries such as Edo (85.43% utilization, 0.052 MLD AGO) and Aradel (53.89%, 0.289 MLD AGO) added up to 0.392 MLD AGO.

One new refinery establishment license and one construction license were issued by NMDPRA.

The average daily supply of wholesale gas was 4.787 billion standard cubic feet (Bscf/d), of which 2.912 Bscf/d went to Nigeria LNG (NLNG), 1.875 Bscf/d went domestically (0.586 Bscf/d to electricity, 0.430 Bscf/d to industries), and 0.569 Bscf/d was exported.

NLNG Trains 1-6 at 82.67%, Gbaran-Ubie at 86.36%, and Soku at 105.69% all shown strong utilization.

With retail rates ranging from N1,120 to N1,600 per kg, the domestic supply of LPG reached 5,201 mtd.

While real averages touched N861-N935 across cities, with maximums reaching N975, indicative PMS pump prices (at N1,450.97/USD NFEM rate, Brent at $62.68/bbl) ranged from N832.31 (Lagos) to N900.49 (Maiduguri).

These numbers highlight market dynamics in the context of increased domestic output and reduced imports.

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